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San Rafael real estate in Q3 of 2022

Marin County intimately felt what the rest of the country has been feeling this past quarter; a drastic slow down in sales, sales prices deflating, supply of homes on-market rising, and time on-market to sell homes is increasing. All reflections of a shifting market.

Sales in September '22 were down 32% compared to September '21.

Days on market (time to sell a home) are up 16%.

Months supply of homes on market is UP 30%.

We've been heavily accustomed to a strong sellers market, but recent macro-economic events have swung Marin into a more normalized market comparative to traditional markets all over the country, if not putting power in buyer's hands. If you've been waiting to buy a home, now is seemingly the best time to buy property since '09.


San Rafael Real Estate Market Report

The Condominium Market

San Rafael's condo market was one of few market segments across the county that actually grew in Q3. 31x total sales saw the average price up to $735k from $678k last quarter. $/foot up to $619 from $595, and days on market decreasing from 61 to 46.

The Median Market

Similar to other median markets across Marin, demand for turn-key homes remains extremely high in San Rafael. The average price for a home continues to rise: up to $1.66M from from $1.61M after 101 sales in Q3, and days on market remaining steady at ~ 30.

The Luxury Market

San Rafael's luxury market dipped slightly, seeing only 7x sales after averaging 17x per quarter leading into Q3. The average price for a luxury property sits at $3.2M, after climbing as high as $3.7M earlier in the year.

Projecting Ahead To Next Month/Quarter

With interest rates rising seemingly month after month, and Thanksgiving & The Holidays on the horizon, Q4 doesn’t project well as the turn of this market.

Instead, given the current trends, Q4 should be viewed by buyers as one of the most opportunistic times to buy property in the past decade. Most seller’s opting to try and sell in this market are doing so out of necessity, and it’s worth remembering that most sellers have seen 50-60% appreciation over the past 5 years which allows for significant wiggle room on final sales price should buyers get the opportunity to negotiate rather than a be in a multiple offer situation.

I anticipate the Fall market to run from October 1st through ~ Thanksgiving, then we’ll see a significant lull in listings on the market, sales volume, etc.

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Jerry
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It was great working with Jerry, he's an effective communicator, very professional, and patient. I would definitely work with him again in the future and would highly recommend him for anyone looking to purchase an exceptional residential property in the Bay area.
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J.P
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We can’t say enough about what an amazing agent Jerry is! In the roughest economic time during a pandemic he managed to sell our condo in record time (7 days to be exact) with an over asking offer. He made the entire process seamless and actually enjoyable. Professional, knowledgeable, and always responsive are just a few ways to describe Jerry! Hands down the best agent in the game!
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E.B
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Jerry and I first made contact on Sep 16, 2021 through email. I was ready to purchase a home, seriously this time. I was new to San Francisco so had no idea where i wanted to live. I was hoping to get an experienced real estate agent to show me the ins and outs. I was also a bit anxious because i kept hearing of the crazy bidding wars. I decided to Airbnb in different areas to figure out which area i like. And also took Jerry's recommendation of which area to try. After visiting 3 different houses (in different areas), I realized i really liked the Noe Valley/Glen Park area and decided it was a good idea to focus on that area. I found a house I really liked that I thought might be out of reach that I had visited myself. A few days later, Jerry visited too and was able to convince me that it was worth the shot. So I made an offer, I knew i had to be competitive as this house would get many offers. I ended up winning after a counteroffer! Jerry's experience was key in helping me make the optimal bid. The house was in escrow on Sep 30, 2021. It was a two week process, and my very first bid on a house (in a very competitive area). I feel like Jerry saved me a lot of time and effort.
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O.C
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I highly recommend Jerry Rice Jr. I credit Jerry with a smooth, stress-free home-buying experience during the pandemic. He is savvy, professional, personable and knows the SF Bay Area market inside and out. He was able to efficiently assist us with our 1031 Property Exchange, with all of the nerve wracking time constraints. There were many factors to consider searching for a property during the pandemic, but Jerry made it a comfortable and seamless process. Jerry went the extra mile to explain the contracts, and to make sure we didn’t feel rushed. We couldn’t have done this without Jerry! He was amazing in a high pressure situation, constantly in touch via phone and text nights and weekends. Whether you are buying, selling, or involved with a 1031 Exchange, we highly recommend Jerry Rice, Jr. for your real estate needs.
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L.H
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Jerry helped my wife and I purchase our first home in Oakland. Jerry was an excellent partner throughout the entire process. He was always responsive, gave honest feedback, and networked well with the sellers agents, which was a differentiator when bidding against competing offers. Further, in the middle of our housing search, the markets started to turn funky. Jerry helped us navigate the changing markets with confidence, and ultimately, thanks to his guidance, we secured our dream home. Despite the craziness, the end-to-end process was about as painless as buying a home in the SF bay area could be. Whether a first-time buyer, new to the Bay Area or experienced home-owner, I highly recommend working with Jerry.
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W.E
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Jerry Rice Jr. stands out as a beacon of professionalism and dedication in his field. With a rich background in football, Jerry has seamlessly transitioned his skills and work ethic from the gridiron to the world of real estate.

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